Market Commentary: More Seasonal Choppiness
Stocks continue to trade in a choppy range after the best seven-month start to a year since 1997. August and September tend to see seasonal weakness, and this is playing out once again as expected. Bullish investors may view this as encouraging, as they would prefer to see stocks catch thei …
Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – Talking Inflation and the Fed
What’s going on with inflation and the Fed? Find out with Carson Group’s Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and VP, Global Macro Strategist Sonu Varghese. Highlights include: Inflation has gone up for the first time in a while Energy prices, particularly fuel, have increased Core inflatio …
Market Commentary: Four Big Questions
Stocks have had a rough start to September on the heels of an August slump. As we noted last week, this type of seasonal weakness is normal. The chart below shows that during various timeframes, August and September can be tricky. September, specifically, has been the worst month of the yea …
Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – The Worst Month of the Year
September is the worst-performing month for stocks, on average. Dig into the data with Carson Group’s Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and VP, Global Macro Strategist Sonu Varghese. Highlights include: What could be behind the annual September slowdown? What can investors expect for thi …
Market Commentary: This Is What Normal Looks Like
After the best start to a year since 1997 for the S&P 500, stocks finally fell in August, ending a five-month win streak. The S&P 500 closed the month down 1.8%, but that was after a late-month rally brought it back from a loss of 5%.
Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – Will China’s Economic Troubles Hurt Us
We’ve all heard the latest news about China’s economic slow-down. Discover what Carson Group’s Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and VP, Global Macro Strategist Sonu Varghese have to say about the headlines. Highlights include: Just how much is China’s economy slowing down? Will China’s …
Market Commentary: Volatility Is the Toll We Pay
After rising for five consecutive months, stocks have hit some weakness. This is to be expected. Investors have been rather spoiled this year, with stocks having one of their best starts. Yet, while stocks usually go up, they can also go down. Even in some of the best years, stocks tend to …
Facts Vs Feelings Take 5 – Recession? Guess the Economy Didn’t Get the Memo
Over the last year or so, we’ve all heard the chatter over an impending recession. Some people were convinced that the economy was in trouble and recession was inevitable. But then a funny thing happened. The economy has rebounded, and the stock market is performing really well. Consumers a …
Market Commentary: Weak Seasonality Still in Play
The S&P 500 has pulled back almost 5% since July 31. This is not surprising considering historical data. Factoring in seasonality has worked well for investors over the last 18 months. We’ve pointed out how bear markets tend to end in October, especially in midterm election years, with …
Market Commentary: U.S. Debt Downgrade Should Have Minimal Impact
Rating agency Fitch downgraded the U.S. government’s longer-term credit rating to AA+ from AAA. This was the second downgrade in the nation’s history. The first came in August 2011 from S&P Global Ratings after a government standoff over the debt ceiling. The agency cited “the expected …
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2024 Market Outlook Report
Will the bull market continue in 2024? What about a recession? What will the Fed do? We take a deep dive into our outlook for 2024 in Carson Investment Research’s Outlook ‘24: Seeing Eye to Eye.